{"product_id":"9780141034591","title":"The Black Swan","description":"Author: Taleb, Nassim Nicholas\u003cbr\u003eISBN: 9780141034591\u003cbr\u003ePublisher: Penguin UK\u003cbr\u003eYear first published: 07 Jul 2011\u003cbr\u003ePages: 480 \u003cbr\u003eFormat: Paperback \/ softback\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003eEverything you need to know about what you don't know\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003eWhat have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', \u003ci\u003eThe Black Swan\u003c\/i\u003e shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.","brand":"Ships in 10 to 15 days","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":48135616561310,"sku":"UBD-9780141034591","price":26.78,"currency_code":"AUD","in_stock":false}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0400\/9043\/5742\/files\/9780141034591.jpg?v=1786625880","url":"https:\/\/classicbargains.com.au\/products\/9780141034591","provider":"Classic Bargains Australia","version":"1.0","type":"link"}